The housing market, while still
under water and providing little contribution to economic growth, is at least
seeing light at the end of the tunnel. That is because mortgage rates are now at
a fifty year low, providing significant economic incentive for buyers to enter
the marketplace. The excess supply of homes is slowly dwindling.
However, just as the housing
market appears to be coming out of its depression, the country faces another
threat. It is an insidious economic cancer that threatens to sap potential
growth for decades to come.
This cancer is none other than
STUDENT LOANS!
An entire generation of
twenty-somethings who were not privileged enough to be provided higher education
by their parents is entering the work force with a giant noose around its
collective neck. And that noose is in the form of huge student loans they were
required to take out in order to get an education that would give them a
competitive entrée in the work place. It is the magnitude of the debt that is
frightening. In many cases, their middle class parents are broke and now they
are starting their careers broke as well. By some measures, the total student
debt outstanding is over $1 trillion, according to an article in the Wall Street
Journal on March 23, 2012.
The economic impact of
this scenario is scary. Today’s young college graduates should be
the trailblazers for the continuation of the American dream. Their energy,
stamina, creativity and appetite for risk are the ingredients for
entrepreneurship. It has been that way in this country for decades and even
centuries. But now suddenly that ability to dream big and take risk is being
choked off by the crushingly high level of debt they must repay. They cannot
afford to take risk or to invest. They can barely afford to spend on
discretionary items because they have so little money left each month after
paying their student loans.
Student loans have long
been a part of the American way of life. I had such a loan myself
for seven or eight years. But there is a huge difference today. When I paid my
student loan, it was in the late 1970s, a period of extraordinarily high
inflation and consequently high interest rates. However, the interest on my
student loan was a manageable 5.5% and the loan carried simple interest.
Today, with interest rates under
2% on the 10 year Government note, student loans carry rates of 6% at a minimum
and as high as 11%, most of them under a Federal Government program. And to add
insult to injury, the interest on many of these loans is amortized. The newly
minted graduate, assuming he/she gets that far, is racing just to service the
debt without paying down the principal.
I recently spoke to a young woman
who put herself through college and graduate school with no financial support
from her family. Upon graduation, her eleven separate Federal loans totaled
$135,000. She currently earns nearly $65,000 annually by working a full week and
one day on the weekend. Since she started working, she has paid more than the
monthly minimum required on her loans and after nearly two years of payments
that have totaled $26,000 her balance today has grown to $141,560! She is deeper
in debt than at graduation because some of the loans are paying down no
principal at all.
She is caught in a vise that will
make home ownership an impossible dream for decades. She called Sallie Mae, the
company that services the vast majority of Federal student loans, to inquire
about consolidating her many loans the possibility of getting a lower rate. The
Sallie Mae employee said that the company was willing to consolidate but would
give her no break on the interest rate. And when she inquired as to why no one
at Sallie Mae reached out to her, she was told that policy prohibits such
action. If that is true, that policy is criminally negligent.
Another young woman, the daughter
of a friend of mine, has a $42,000 private student loan with Discover carrying
an 11% interest rate. When her father contacted Discover in an attempt to
negotiate a lower interest rate, the (evidently naïve) employee said there was
nothing that could be done. In further conversation, she admitted that the
student loan business was Discover’s most profitable and that employees were
provided incentive compensation based on how successful they were in ‘selling’
loans to students. Again, if true, such a corporate ethic is moral turpitude.
And Discover’s website advertises student loans for “as low as 6.79% APR”.
These stories are far from unique.
They are repeated hundreds of thousands of times in this country. The lenders
decry the fact that student default rates are high. Well of course they are high
when the interest rates are so onerous. The system is downright Dickensian.
The recently passed bill signed by
President Obama unfortunately will not relieve the interest rate burden on the
generation of young graduates who are drowning in debt, although it does
alleviate conditions from getting even worse for some students. In response to
the new law, Sallie Mae and other student debt servicing companies have bemoaned
the fact that they will be forced to lay off employees. But I argue that those
layoffs are nothing compared to the negative impact on the economy from a
generation of workers who have diminished resources to buy basic goods and
services, much less to take on economic risk.
So what is to be done? How can
this cancer be cured?
A complete overhaul of the student
loan industry is essential. For one, the business should be tightly regulated,
in much the same way that utilities are. I am sure this concept is anathema to
many, and I myself abhor overregulation, but the abuse that is being heaped on
the vulnerable (i.e. young, desperate students) warrants such a response.
And something must be done about
the cost of higher education, which has spiraled out of control. There are many
studies that show that the cost of college tuition has increased at multiples of
the rate of inflation. When an asset (college education) is priced to become a
liability (it bankrupts the buyer) the price must fall. That is simply an
economic fact of life.
Ruminate on these statistics for a
moment or two.
Confiscatory Student
Loans
|
Tuition Per Annum | 1960 | 1960 (in 2008 $) | 2008 Actual |
Harvard | $1,520 | $10,147 | $33,709 |
University of Texas | $100 | $695 | $7,530 |
Michigan State | $279 | $1,939 | $8,843 |
Source:
ClearPictureOnline.com
|
Is it no wonder that parents can
no longer afford to provide a college education for their children? But without
such higher education, the outlook for gainful and fulfilling employment is
miserable.
The debt being incurred by the
young in this country has reached the level of a national crisis. We had better
address it now before this it takes on the proportion of our Federal
Government’s debt.
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